Treasurer Scott Meacham today announced that General Revenue (GR) collections for the first month of the new state fiscal year, FY ‘11, came in 9.9 percent above the prior year and 11.9 percent above the official certified estimate. The sales tax and corporate income tax saw the strongest growth compared to July 2009, while personal income tax collections were off by 0.1 percent from a year ago, likely reflecting the persistence of weak employment numbers.

Although one must be careful of drawing conclusions based on a single month, July’s collections confirm that revenues are continuing the upswing seen in recent months and should further dispel fears that the state will face a third consecutive year of revenue shortfalls requiring mid-year cuts.  It now seems far likelier that the economic projections made in February that formed the basis of this year’s budget underestimated the speed and strength of the economic recovery. If GR continues to come in above 100 percent of the estimate over the course of the full year, the surplus will go to replenishing the Rainy Day Fund. Read the rest of this entry »

Just when it looked as if the the extended negotiations over how to address FY ‘10 budget shortfalls were finally resolved, a new wrinkle emerged this week.  As a means to protest the continued failure to find supplemental funds for senior nutrition programs in the Department of Human Service, Senate Democrats refused to approve the emergency clause on a bill to transfer $30 million to the Special Cash Fund . Without an emergency clause, the transfer cannot take effect until July 1st, which threatens a whole series of agreements between the House, Senate and Governor intended to put this year’s budget to rest. (Update: an agreement was announced Wednesday afternoon on funding for senior nutrition programs allowing the emergency clauses for the funding bills to be passed). Read the rest of this entry »

Just before the start of the Legislative session, Governor Henry announced that he had reached an agreement with Speaker Benge and President Pro Tem Coffee on the FY ‘10 budget.  Faced with projected mid-year revenue shortfalls of slightly more than $800 million, the leaders agreed that agency appropriations from the General Revenue Fund would continue to be cut by 10 percent for the remaining months of the year, with supplemental funding made available to certain agencies (Common Ed, Higher Ed, Health Care Authority, Corrections and Rehab Services) to mitigate the extent of cuts.

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In Monday’s State of the State address, Governor Henry laid out the broad parameters of his FY ’11 Executive budget. The Governor’s speech likened our current fiscal storm to the severe weather the state has faced recently and so often in our past.  While the Governor stated clearly that continued budget cuts are unavoidable due to the dramatic plunge in revenues that has hit the state during the current fiscal year (FY ’10) and that will continue next year, he earned loud, bipartisan applause when he declared:

We all will be asked to sacrifice. But we cannot balance the budget at the expense of the most vulnerable among us.

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Our friends over at Oklahomans for Responsible Government have a blog post up on the FY ‘10 budget agreement expressing dismay over the use of (an unspecified amount of) Rainy Day Funds to help cover this year’s revenue shortfall. They say:

OFRG argues that the Rainy Day Fund needs to be as full as possible for FY 2012 because stimulus funds will no longer be available, leaving a $600-million dollar hole in the budget, about the same amount as the Rainy Day Fund has.

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In a press release Tuesday afternoon, Governor Brad Henry, Speaker Chris Benge and Senate Pro-Tem Glenn Coffee announced agreement on how to address the shortfalls in the FY ‘10 budget that have resulted from this year’s revenues coming in sharply below the certified estimate.

Based on the revised estimates for FY ‘10 certified by the Board of Equalization in December, the state is looking at a total mid-year shortfall of $809 million in FY ‘10, made up of  $729 million in the General Revenue Fund and $80 million in the HB 1017 Education Reform Fund. The leadership agreement involves the following main features for bringing the FY ‘10 budget into balance: Read the rest of this entry »

As state leaders struggle to find solutions to this year’s revenue shortfalls and funding gaps, it is not too soon to draw lessons from the current state fiscal crisis to design policies that will allow us to respond better the next time the economy falters. This post, the second in a four-part series that will recommend changes to our budget and tax system, looks at options for strengthening our budget reserve funds.  Our first post recommended enhanced and expanded budget forecasting; subsequent pieces will consider multi-year revenue commitments and tax expenditures. Together, our proposals are designed to improve the Legislature’s ability to manage budget downturns.

Like most every state, Oklahoma has established a budget reserve fund to put money aside during times of robust growth that is then made available to cushion the impact of economic downturns.  Oklahoma’s Constitutional Reserve Fund, known as the Rainy Day Fund (RDF), was created by a vote of the people in 1985. Under the Constitution, deposits are made into the Rainy Day Fund of all General Revenue (GR) collections that exceed 100 percent of the final certified estimate made by the State Board of Equalization for a given year. Deposits are capped at 10 percent of the General Revenue Fund certification for the preceding year.  If the RDF is already at its cap, additional surpluses spill over to the General Revenue Fund. Read the rest of this entry »

If state fiscal conditions can be likened to the weather, it’s been apparent for many months that Oklahoma is in the midst of a toad strangler of a rain, to borrow the Tulsa World’s colorful characterization. Going into the current fiscal year, the state faced projected revenue shortfalls of over $600 million.  While most agencies had their budgets cut by 5-7 percent, the use of some $640 million of federal stimulus dollars allowed the largest core agencies to receive smaller cuts or small increases, while the Rainy Day Fund was left intact. This year’s revenue collections, however, are coming in nearly 25 percent below the certified estimate. Agency budgets have been cut 5 percent each month, which has forced a growing number of agencies and school districts to reduce staff and scale back or eliminate core programs. Read the rest of this entry »